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First cyclone of Atlantic hurricane season could start churning before Memorial Day

Hurricane season doesn’t start until June 1 for the East Coast, but a system taking shape in the Atlantic has a 70% chance of turning into the year’s first tropical cyclone this week, according to the National Hurricane Center.

An Air Force Reserve hurricane reconnaissance plane was on its way to take a look at an area of showers and thunderstorms southwest of Bermuda, the National Weather Service’s Hurricane Center said in a 1:30 p.m. update Monday.

The system does not have the “well-defined center of circulation” forecasters look for in a possible tropical storm, the National Weather Service said. The conditions are there “for the formation of a short-lived subtropical or tropical cyclone later today or tonight,” the NWS said.

If the storm does turn into a tropical cyclone, it probably won’t last for long, the Hurricane Center said. “Conditions are forecast to become unfavorable for further development by late Tuesday, and the disturbance is expected to merge with a cold front on Wednesday.”

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